（ドバイ・アブダビ不動産UAEナビ）ドバイ不動産はインフレの影響をうけず？

ドバイ不動産ニュースを御紹介いたします。

ドバイのLand Department（Ministry of Economy）やメリル・リンチ公表の統計値も興味深いところです。

不動産は依然として伸びをみせているようですが、インフレの影響を受けていないという理由で堅調さをアピールする内容となっています。

GDP24％以上の上昇…ってあたりで目が泳ぎました（笑）

詳細は下記のようになります。

Dubai property market untouched by inflation

07-Jul-2008

Upon studying the current trend of inflation across the UAE, we observe that contrary to expectations, property prices have been steadily heading north instead of declining. The total value of land transactions in Dubai last year was US$12.94 billion, according to Land Department. Some 2,329 land plots were sold in Dubai during April-June this year with a combined value of US$7.74 billion as against US$2.94 billion for the same period in 2007. This reflects an overall rise in prices and demand for space across the emirate.

Land prices in Dubai have
been steadily increasing in
spite of the ongoing inflation;
Overall monthly land
transactions
in Dubai in 2007

Inflation in the UAE is driven mostly by increased consumer spending. However, according to Merrill Lynch, the consumer price index (CPI) in the UAE will slide to 8 per cent by the end of 2009 after scaling 12 per cent this year. Inflation notwithstanding, the UAE economy is expected to experience a sustained growth with its nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) attaining 24.5 per cent growth - from US$192.6 billion in 2007 to reach US$239.9 billion in 2008, says Mohsin Khan, Director of IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department (MCD). "Spiralling rents which account for more than 50 per cent of the consumer price inflation will soften with more residential units coming to the market." Merrill Lynch has predicted that the UAE's real gross domestic product is likely to decline to 6.1 per cent for the coming year after registering a rise to 6.4 per cent this year.

Monthly land sales in
Dubai in 2008

Thus, it may be concluded that the real estate industry in Dubai has been relatively untouched by ongoing inflation. The land sales in the emirate are expected to go up still further in coming months as the Dubai Strategic Plan 2015 gains momentum. The demand for space which is augmented by the developmental policies of the Government of Dubai is expected to hold strong in the future, thereby sustaining the realty boom well beyond 2012.

(Sources: Gowealthy Research Team, Ministry of Economy, UAE, Merrill Lynch, IMF)

出典はこちら。

ここで述べられているドバイの2015年計画も詳細にみてみなければなりませんが、現在の経済省での公表では2012年頃までこうした不動産の伸びは続くと考えているようです。

あくまで政府公表ということですが、2010年1000万人人口増加計画が当初予想に比べて、どの程度達成されているのか知りたいところです。